Smoking Costs e-model


Prevalence rates and numbers of smokers

Table 1 below shows the smoking prevalence rates the resident population. The data has been pre-loaded with the prevalence rates for this local economy.

To change individual prevalence rates, click in any bright yellow cell and type in a number between 0 and 100. Click 'Update' to calculate the costs to your local economy. Click 'Reset' to return to the original prevalence rates.

Table 1 Smoking prevalence rates by age and socio-economic status
Socio-economic status	Age
	All people	16-19	20-24	25-34	35-49	50-59	60-74
All people
Higher managerial and professional occupations
Lower managerial and professional occupations
Intermediate occupations
Small employers and own account workers
Lower supervisory and technical occupations
Semi-routine occupations
Routine occupations
Never worked and long-term unemployed
Not classified: Full-time students
Not classified: Other reasons

Table 2 below shows the number of smokers in the area by age and socio-economic status according to the prevalence rates entered in Table 1 above.


Table 2 Number of smokers by age and socio-economic status
Socio-economic status	Age
	All people	16-19	20-24	25-34	35-49	50-59	60-74
All people
Higher managerial and professional occupations
Lower managerial and professional occupations
Intermediate occupations
Small employers and own account workers
Lower supervisory and technical occupations
Semi-routine occupations
Routine occupations
Never worked and long-term unemployed
Not classified: Full-time students
Not classified: Other reasons


Economic activity rates

Tables 3-9 below shows the economic activity rates for each age group according to socio-economic status. 'Full-time' includes all employees and self-employed people working on a full-time basis, 'Part-time' includes all employees and self-employed people working on a part-time basis. 'Unwaged' includes all unemployed, economically active (full-time) and inactive students, those looking after home/family, those permanently sick/disabled and all other economically inactive people. 'Pension' includes all those in retirement. For the purposes of this model, it is assumed that all those in retirement fall into the 60-74 age band.

Tables 3-9 below also shows the number of smokers in the local economy within each economic status for each age band. The number of smokers is calculated based on the economic activity rates given in the tables below and the number of smokers as calculated by the prevalence rate entered in Table 1.


Table 3 Economic activity rates by age and socio-economic status: All people
Socio-economic status	Full-time	Part-time	Unwaged	Pension
All people	42	18	26	14
Higher managerial and professional occupations	71	21	5	3
Lower managerial and professional occupations	61	28	7	3
Intermediate occupations	51	35	11	3
Small employers and own account workers	69	20	9	2
Lower supervisory and technical occupations	66	19	12	3
Semi-routine occupations	52	27	18	3
Routine occupations	56	20	21	3
Never worked and long-term unemployed	0	0	97	3
Not classified: Full-time students	0	0	100	0
Not classified: Other reasons	0	0	36	64

Table 4 Economic activity rates by age and socio-economic status: 16-19 year olds
Socio-economic status	Full-time	Part-time	Unwaged	Pension	Full-time	Part-time	Unwaged	Pension
All people	12	5	83	0
Higher managerial and professional occupations	34	15	50	0
Lower managerial and professional occupations	34	15	50	0
Intermediate occupations	34	15	50	0
Small employers and own account workers	34	15	50	0
Lower supervisory and technical occupations	34	15	50	0
Semi-routine occupations	34	15	50	0
Routine occupations	34	15	50	0
Never worked and long-term unemployed	0	0	100	0
Not classified: Full-time students	0	0	100	0
Not classified: Other reasons	0	0	0	0

Table 5 Economic activity rates by age and socio-economic status: 20-24 year olds
Socio-economic status	Full-time	Part-time	Unwaged	Pension	Full-time	Part-time	Unwaged	Pension
All people	40	18	42	0
Higher managerial and professional occupations	56	25	20	0
Lower managerial and professional occupations	56	25	20	0
Intermediate occupations	56	25	20	0
Small employers and own account workers	56	25	20	0
Lower supervisory and technical occupations	56	25	20	0
Semi-routine occupations	56	25	20	0
Routine occupations	56	25	20	0
Never worked and long-term unemployed	0	0	100	0
Not classified: Full-time students	0	0	100	0
Not classified: Other reasons	0	0	100	0

Table 6 Economic activity rates by age and socio-economic status: 25-34 year olds
Socio-economic status	Full-time	Part-time	Unwaged	Pension	Full-time	Part-time	Unwaged	Pension
All people	59	26	15	0
Higher managerial and professional occupations	68	30	2	0
Lower managerial and professional occupations	68	30	2	0
Intermediate occupations	68	30	2	0
Small employers and own account workers	68	30	2	0
Lower supervisory and technical occupations	68	30	2	0
Semi-routine occupations	68	30	2	0
Routine occupations	68	30	2	0
Never worked and long-term unemployed	0	0	100	0
Not classified: Full-time students	0	0	100	0
Not classified: Other reasons	0	0	100	0

Table 7 Economic activity rates by age and socio-economic status: 35-49 year olds
Socio-economic status	Full-time	Part-time	Unwaged	Pension	Full-time	Part-time	Unwaged	Pension
All people	60	27	13	0
Higher managerial and professional occupations	69	31	1	0
Lower managerial and professional occupations	69	31	1	0
Intermediate occupations	69	31	1	0
Small employers and own account workers	69	31	1	0
Lower supervisory and technical occupations	69	31	1	0
Semi-routine occupations	69	31	1	0
Routine occupations	69	31	1	0
Never worked and long-term unemployed	0	0	100	0
Not classified: Full-time students	0	0	100	0
Not classified: Other reasons	0	0	100	0

Table 8 Economic activity rates by age and socio-economic status: 50-59 year olds
Socio-economic status	Full-time	Part-time	Unwaged	Pension	Full-time	Part-time	Unwaged	Pension
All people	49	22	29	0
Higher managerial and professional occupations	59	26	15	0
Lower managerial and professional occupations	59	26	15	0
Intermediate occupations	59	26	15	0
Small employers and own account workers	59	26	15	0
Lower supervisory and technical occupations	59	26	15	0
Semi-routine occupations	59	26	15	0
Routine occupations	59	26	15	0
Never worked and long-term unemployed	0	0	100	0
Not classified: Full-time students	0	0	100	0
Not classified: Other reasons	0	0	100	0

Table 9 Economic activity rates by age and socio-economic status: 60-74 year olds
Socio-economic status	Full-time	Part-time	Unwaged	Pension	Full-time	Part-time	Unwaged	Pension
All people	2	1	23	73
Higher managerial and professional occupations	8	4	40	48
Lower managerial and professional occupations	8	4	33	55
Intermediate occupations	8	4	34	54
Small employers and own account workers	8	4	71	18
Lower supervisory and technical occupations	8	4	51	37
Semi-routine occupations	8	4	47	41
Routine occupations	8	4	58	30
Never worked and long-term unemployed	0	0	60	40
Not classified: Full-time students	0	0	100	0
Not classified: Other reasons	0	0	11	89


Cigarette consumption

Table 10 below shows the average distibution of ciagrettes smoked during the working day. Data cells in the table that contain a '1' denote that a cigarette smoked in the alloted time frame is considered to be smoked during working time and hence will require a break from production. The model assumes that some ‘bunching’ of cigarette smoking: if a time zone overlaps with the beginning or end of the working day, it is assumed that the smoker will choose to smoke the cigarette outside work hours and also assumes that each worker is entitled to a one hour lunch break, during which a cigarette smoked is not counted as being ‘on work time’ and that full-time workers work eight hours per day, part-time workers work four hours per day.

The time zones show that the model is based on a smoker waking at 7am, starting work at 9am and going to bed at 11pm. However, it makes no difference to the number of cigarettes smoked during the working day if full-time/part-time workers work eight hour/four hour shifts that start at some other hour other than 9am (the same number of time zones and ‘bunching’ opportunities exist).

Table 10 Cigarettes per day of working population
No. of cigarettes
11				12				13
Time	All	Full time	Part-time	Time	All	Full time	Part-time	Time	All	Full time	Part-time
07:00				07:00				07:00
08:27	1	0	0	08:20	1	0	0	08:14	1	0	0
09:54	1	0	0	09:40	1	0	0	09:28	1	0	0
11:21	1	1	1	11:00	1	1	1	10:42	1	1	1
12:48	1	1	1	12:20	1	1	1	11:56	1	1	1
14:15	1	0	0	13:40	1	0	0	13:10	1	0	0
15:42	1	1	0	15:00	1	1	0	14:24	1	1	0
17:09	1	1	0	16:20	1	1	0	15:38	1	1	0
18:36	1	0	0	17:40	1	0	0	16:52	1	1	0
20:03	1	0	0	19:00	1	0	0	18:06	1	0	0
21:30	1	0	0	20:20	1	0	0	19:20	1	0	0
22:57	1	0	0	21:40	1	0	0	20:34	1	0	0
				23:00	1	0	0	21:48	1	0	0
								23:02	1	0	0
Total in work time

Table 10 Cigarettes per day of working population (continued)
No. of cigarettes
14				15				16
Time	All	Full time	Part-time	Time	All	Full time	Part-time	Time	All	Full time	Part-time
07:00				07:00				07:00
08:09	1	0	0	08:04	1	0	0	08:00	1	0	0
09:18	1	0	0	09:08	1	0	0	09:00	1	0	0
10:27	1	1	1	10:12	1	1	1	10:00	1	1	1
11:36	1	1	1	11:16	1	1	1	11:00	1	1	1
12:45	1	1	1	12:20	1	1	1	12:00	1	1	1
13:54	1	0	0	13:24	1	0	0	13:00	1	0	0
15:03	1	1	0	14:28	1	1	0	14:00	1	1	0
16:12	1	1	0	15:32	1	1	0	15:00	1	1	0
17:21	1	0	0	16:36	1	1	0	16:00	1	1	0
18:30	1	0	0	17:40	1	0	0	17:00	1	0	0
19:39	1	0	0	18:44	1	0	0	18:00	1	0	0
20:48	1	0	0	19:48	1	0	0	19:00	1	0	0
21:57	1	0	0	20:52	1	0	0	20:00	1	0	0
23:06	1	0	0	21:56	1	0	0	21:00	1	0	0
				23:00	1	0	0	22:00	1	0	0
								23:00	1	0	0
Total in work time


Cigarette breaks

Table 11 below shows the total cost of lost production time (in equivalent wages) to businesses due to cigarette breaks. This calculation is based on Tables 12-17 below, the smoking prevalence rate entered in Table 1 and the cigarette consumption model described on the previous link.

Table 11 Total cost of cigarette breaks to businesses
All people	Costs (£)
Full-time
Part-time
Total

Tables 12-17 below show the average number of cigarettes smoked by different socio-economic classifications for each age group, together with the number of cigarettes that are smoked on work time. The tables also show the average wages for full-time and part-time employees/self-employed for each socio-economic status and age group and hence the cost of cigarette breaks for each group.


Table 12 Cost of cigarette breaks to businesses: 16-19 year olds
Socio-economic status	Cigarettes per day		Cigarettes in work		Wages (£)		Costs of cigarette breaks (£)
All people	Full-time	Part-time	Full-time	Part-time	Full-time	Part-time	Full-time	Part-time
Higher managerial and professional occupations
Lower managerial and professional occupations
Intermediate occupations
Small employers and own account workers
Lower supervisory and technical occupations
Semi-routine occupations
Routine occupations
Never worked and long-term unemployed
Not classified: Full-time students
Not classified: Other reasons

Table 13 Cost of cigarette breaks to businesses: 20-24 year olds
Socio-economic status	Cigarettes per day		Cigarettes in work		Wages (£)		Costs of cigarette breaks (£)
All people	Full-time	Part-time	Full-time	Part-time	Full-time	Part-time	Full-time	Part-time
Higher managerial and professional occupations
Lower managerial and professional occupations
Intermediate occupations
Small employers and own account workers
Lower supervisory and technical occupations
Semi-routine occupations
Routine occupations
Never worked and long-term unemployed
Not classified: Full-time students
Not classified: Other reasons

Table 14 Cost of cigarette breaks to businesses: 25-34 year olds
Socio-economic status	Cigarettes per day		Cigarettes in work		Wages (£)		Costs of cigarette breaks (£)
All people	Full-time	Part-time	Full-time	Part-time	Full-time	Part-time	Full-time	Part-time
Higher managerial and professional occupations
Lower managerial and professional occupations
Intermediate occupations
Small employers and own account workers
Lower supervisory and technical occupations
Semi-routine occupations
Routine occupations
Never worked and long-term unemployed
Not classified: Full-time students
Not classified: Other reasons

Table 15 Cost of cigarette breaks to businesses: 35-49 year olds
Socio-economic status	Cigarettes per day		Cigarettes in work		Wages (£)		Costs of cigarette breaks (£)
All people	Full-time	Part-time	Full-time	Part-time	Full-time	Part-time	Full-time	Part-time
Higher managerial and professional occupations
Lower managerial and professional occupations
Intermediate occupations
Small employers and own account workers
Lower supervisory and technical occupations
Semi-routine occupations
Routine occupations
Never worked and long-term unemployed
Not classified: Full-time students
Not classified: Other reasons

Table 16 Cost of cigarette breaks to businesses: 50-59 year olds
Socio-economic status	Cigarettes per day		Cigarettes in work		Wages (£)		Costs of cigarette breaks (£)
All people	Full-time	Part-time	Full-time	Part-time	Full-time	Part-time	Full-time	Part-time
Higher managerial and professional occupations
Lower managerial and professional occupations
Intermediate occupations
Small employers and own account workers
Lower supervisory and technical occupations
Semi-routine occupations
Routine occupations
Never worked and long-term unemployed
Not classified: Full-time students
Not classified: Other reasons

Table 17 Cost of cigarette breaks to businesses: 60-74 year olds
Socio-economic status	Cigarettes per day		Cigarettes in work		Wages (£)		Costs of cigarette breaks (£)
All people	Full-time	Part-time	Full-time	Part-time	Full-time	Part-time	Full-time	Part-time
Higher managerial and professional occupations
Lower managerial and professional occupations
Intermediate occupations
Small employers and own account workers
Lower supervisory and technical occupations
Semi-routine occupations
Routine occupations
Never worked and long-term unemployed
Not classified: Full-time students
Not classified: Other reasons


Treatment costs

Table 18 shows the number of hospital bed days taken up by smokers for smoking related diseases by age group. The figures are based on the number and duration of recorded treatments on the West Midlands Hospital Epsiode Statistics (HES) database. The cost of bed days for treating smoking related diseases is calculated at £400 per day.

The table also includes treatment for smokers aged under 16 and those aged 75 and above. These figures are based on the number and duration of recorded treatments on the West Midlands Hospital Epsiode Statistics (HES) database.

Table 18 Number of bed days and cost
Bed days	16-19	20-24	25-34	35-49	50-59	60-74	Under 16s	75+	Total
Smoker bed days per 100 smokers	1.3	1.1	2.0	7.0	27.0	129.4	11.2	372.0
Bed days
Total bed day costs (£)

Table 19 shows the number of smoker discharges (patients who are smokers) treated for smoking related diseases. The cost of inpatient appointments are calculated at £151 per day and the cost of follow-up appointments are calculated at £87 per day.

Table 19 Number of somer discharges, outpatient and follow-up appointment costs
Discharges	16-19	20-24	25-34	35-49	50-59	60-74	Under 16s	75+	Total
Smoker discharges per 100 smokers	1	0	1	2	6	20	7	29
Total number of discharges
Total outpatient costs (£)
Total follow up appointment costs

Table 20 shows the number of weekday bed days taken up by smokers for smoking related diseases by age and economic activity. It is assumed that a smoker is no more or less likley to be treated on a weekday than on a weekend.

Table 20 Number of weekday bed days
Bed days	16-19	20-24	25-34	35-49	50-59	60-74	Under 16s	75+	Total
No. weekday bed days working full-time
No. weekday bed days working part-time
No. weekday bed days unwaged
No.weekday bed days pension

Table 21 shows the cost of weekday bedays taken up by smokers for smoking related diseases who are employed/self-employed on a full-time and part-time basis. The costs are calculated using average wages for each age group.

Table 21 Cost of working day bed days to businesses
Total inpatients costs to business	16-19	20-24	25-34	35-49	50-59	60-74	Under 16s	75+	Total
Total costs working full-time (£)
Total costs wage working part-time (£)
Total (£)

Action on Smoking and Health estimates that those in work in the West Midlands take 3m days off sick due to smoking. Based on this data, Table 22 shows the number of 'home' sick days taken by those in work/self employed for each age group.

Table 22 Number of 'home' sick days
Home sick days	16-19	20-24	25-34	35-49	50-59	60-74	Under 16s	75+	Total
No. working full-time
No. working part-time
Total

Table 23 shows the cost of the 'home' sick days (as shown in the table above) to businesses. The costs are based on the equivalent average wages for each age group.

Table 23 Cost of 'home' sick days to businesses
Home sick days cost to business	16-19	20-24	25-34	35-49	50-59	60-74	Under 16s	75+	Total
Total costs working full-time (£)
Total costs wage working part-time (£)
Total (£)


Deaths

Table 24 shows the number of deaths of smokers from smoking realted diseases for each age group. The figures are based on mortality data provided by the Office for National Statistics.

Table 24 Number of smoker deaths from smoking related diseases
Deaths	16-19	20-24	25-34	35-49	50-59	60-74	Under 16s	75+	Total
Smoker deaths per 100 smokers	0.0015	0.0020	0.0084	0.0776	0.5004	3.0671	0.0167	11.4824
Total deaths

Table 25 shows the cost to the local economy of deaths of smokers from smoking related diseases. The figures are based on the equivalent wages (or spend) by smokers if they had lived for one additional year. The average weekly spend of 'unwaged' smokers is assumed to be £70 - this figure is based on an average of benefits and other income for smokers within this group and uses data provided by Jobcentre Plus. The average weekly spend for those in retirement is assumed to be £207 - this figure is based on data from the Pensioners' Income Series. (See the Methodology - Model Sources section of this website for more information.)

Table 25 Cost of deaths of smokers from smoking realted diseases in a single year
Deaths	16-19	20-24	25-34	35-49	50-59	60-74	Under 16s	75+	Total
Total costs working full-time
Total costs wage working part-time
Total costs spend unwaged
Total costs spend pension
Total costs (£)

Second hand smoke

A number of non-smokers will suffer ill health and require treatment due to the effects of second hand smoke. Research by the Royal College of Physicians, publicised by Chief Medical Officer, Sir Liam Donaldson, estimates that (proportionally) approximately 100 people in the West Midlands die of second hand smoke every year. If it is assumed that the ratio of deaths to bed days of treatment required for smokers also holds for those suffering the effects of second hand smoking, then (based on hospital episode statistics for the West Midlands) it is possible to approximate the economic impacts of second hand smoking.

On this basis, Table 26 shows the number of deaths caused by passive smoking in the local economy. The total costs of deaths from second hand smoke in a single are also shown for each age group by economic activity.

Table 26 Deaths from second hand smoke
Second hand smoking deaths	16-19	20-24	25-34	35-49	50-59	60-74	Under 16s	75+	Total
Deaths	1	2	19	228	795	4,302	5	7,625
Second hand smoking deaths
Total costs working full-time (£)
Total costs wage working part-time (£)
Total costs spend unwaged (£)
Total costs spend pension (£)
Total costs (£)

Table 27 shows the number of bed days taken up by those suffering from smoking related diseases caused by second hand smoke. The total cost of treating second hand smoke is summed below.

Table 27 Cost of second hand smoke
Second hand smoking bed days	16-19	20-24	25-34	35-49	50-59	60-74	Under 16s	75+	Total
Bed days	972	1,152	4,551	20,707	42,922	181,473	3,670	247,049
Second hand smoking bed days
Cost of treatment (£)

				Total cost of second hand smoking (£)


NHS services

Based on the number of smokers in the local economy, Table 28 shows the costs to the NHS of providing services to help people stop smoking and the cost of prescription Nicotine Replacement Therapies (NRTs) and Bupropion (Zyban).

Table 28 Cost of second hand smoke
Service	Total
Cost to NHS of providing services to help stop smoking (£)
Cost of prescription Nicotine Replacement Therapies (NRTs) and Bupropion (£)
Total (£)


Fires

As no data is available on the severity of injury caused by fire or the type and duration of treatment required (and hence the likely duration of economic activity lost), the economic cost of fires caused by smoking is calclated on a different basis to other section on this website. Home Office research on the economic costs of fire (see the Methodology - Sources Used section of this website for more details) uses planning figures from the Department of Transport, Local Government and the Regions (DTLR) to approximate the economic cost of loss of life and injury, based on three main impacts: • Healthcare costs – costs to the NHS of treatment required patients suffering injuries caused by fire. • Lost output – costs of time off work and the resulting loss of productivity. • Emotional and physical suffering – costs based on the value society places on preventing incidents occurring.

Table 29 shows the cost of different types of fires caused by smokers based on the number of smokers in the local economy.

Table 29 Cost of fires caused by smoking
Location	No. caused by smokers materials	Total average cost per fire (£)	Total cost (£)
Accidental fires in dwellings
Other buildings and business premises
Road vehicles
Total


Costs

Table 30 shows key statistics generated by the Smoking Costs model based on the prevalence rate entered in Table 1 and the modelling described in each of the links.

Table 30 Cost of fires caused by smoking
Key facts
Smoking prevalence rate
No. of smokers
No. of inpatients treated for smoking related diseases
No. of bed days taken by smokers for smoking related diseases
No. of deaths caused by smoking (at current prevalence rate)

Table 31 shows the total costs of smoking on the local economy according to the prevalence rate entered in Table 1 and the modelling described in each of the links.

Table 31 Cost of fires caused by smoking
Cost to local economy
Item	Cost (£m)
Cost of treating smokers for smoking related diseases
Cost of outpatient appointments for smokers
Cost of follow up appointments for smokers
Cost of premature death of smokers in single year
Cost of second hand smoke
Cost of smoking-related sick days
Cost of hospital treatment time to businesses
Cost of staff smoking during working day to businesses
Cost to NHS of providing services to help stop smoking
Cost of prescription Nicotine Replacement Therapies (NRTs) and Bupropion
Cost of fires caused by smoking
Total cost (£)